China’s new bitcoin rival to displace banks and boost ...
China’s new bitcoin rival to displace banks and boost ...
Bitcoin News Today - Latest Cryptocurrency News and Updates
China wants to ban bitcoin mining Reuters
China Is Making Cryptocurrency to Challenge Bitcoin and ...
Bitcoin Might Benefit From A US-China Cold War
Ethereum Classic is an open, decentralized, and permissionless public blockchain, that aims to fulfill the original promise of Ethereum, as a platform where smart contracts are free from third-party interference. ETC prioritizes trust-minimization, network security, and integrity. All network upgrades are non-contentious with the aim to fix critical issues or to add value with newly proposed features; never to create new tokens, or to bail out flawed smart contracts and their interest groups.
05-06 19:05 - 'Bitcoin News Today 2020: Will 3 Billion People In India And China Drive Bitcoin and Crypto Mass Adoption?' (self.Bitcoin) by /u/Lumin8_Crypto removed from /r/Bitcoin within 331-341min
''' Bitcoin News Today 2020: What is the most crucial metric for Bitcoin growth? Could it be mass adoption? The population of China and India is approaching 3 billion people. Could Digital Yaun and an Indian Crypto trading app become the catalyst that pushes Bitcoin towards mass adoption? In this video, we will dig into this new app and the Digital Yaun. Another headline we are going to talk about is those who invested their stimulus checks into Bitcoin are currently up more than 35%. It sounds like they made a wise investment. Watch the video: [[link]2 [link]3 ''' Bitcoin News Today 2020: Will 3 Billion People In India And China Drive Bitcoin and Crypto Mass Adoption? Go1dfish undelete link unreddit undelete link Author: Lumin8_Crypto 1: yo*tu.be/C*b**kT*Ddw 2: *outu.be/C*b*4k**Ddw]^*1 3: pre**ew.redd.it*uoi8zlg*b5*41.jp*?wi*th=*92*&form*t**jpg*amp;a*to=we**&**p*s=91*95cf998ce5e****d***cd76e*38d**f6bdb44 Unknown links are censored to prevent spreading illicit content.
Putting $400M of Bitcoin on your company balance sheet
Also posted on my blog as usual. Read it there if you can, there are footnotes and inlined plots. A couple of months ago, MicroStrategy (MSTR) had a spare $400M of cash which it decided to shift to Bitcoin (BTC). Today we'll discuss in excrutiating detail why this is not a good idea. When a company has a pile of spare money it doesn't know what to do with, it'll normally do buybacks or start paying dividends. That gives the money back to the shareholders, and from an economic perspective the money can get better invested in other more promising companies. If you have a huge pile of of cash, you probably should be doing other things than leave it in a bank account to gather dust. However, this statement from MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor exists to make it clear he's buying into BTC for all the wrong reasons:
“This is not a speculation, nor is it a hedge. This was a deliberate corporate strategy to adopt a bitcoin standard.”
Let's unpack it and jump into the economics Bitcoin:
Is Bitcoin money?
No. Or rather BTC doesn't act as money and there's no serious future path for BTC to become a form of money. Let's go back to basics. There are 3 main economic problems money solves: 1. Medium of Exchange. Before money we had to barter, which led to the double coincidence of wants problem. When everyone accepts the same money you can buy something from someone even if they don't like the stuff you own. As a medium of exchange, BTC is not good. There are significant transaction fees and transaction waiting times built-in to BTC and these worsen the more popular BTC get. You can test BTC's usefulness as a medium of exchange for yourself right now: try to order a pizza or to buy a random item with BTC. How many additional hurdles do you have to go through? How many fewer options do you have than if you used a regular currency? How much overhead (time, fees) is there? 2. Unit of Account. A unit of account is what you compare the value of objects against. We denominate BTC in terms of how many USD they're worth, so BTC is a unit of account presently. We can say it's because of lack of adoption, but really it's also because the market value of BTC is so volatile. If I buy a $1000 table today or in 2017, it's roughly a $1000 table. We can't say that a 0.4BTC table was a 0.4BTC table in 2017. We'll expand on this in the next point: 3. Store of Value. When you create economic value, you don't want to be forced to use up the value you created right away. For instance, if I fix your washing machine and you pay me in avocados, I'd be annoyed. I'd have to consume my payment before it becomes brown, squishy and disgusting. Avocado fruit is not good money because avocadoes loses value very fast. On the other hand, well-run currencies like the USD, GBP, CAD, EUR, etc. all lose their value at a low and most importantly fairly predictible rate. Let's look at the chart of the USD against BTC While the dollar loses value at a predictible rate, BTC is all over the place, which is bad. One important use money is to write loan contracts. Loans are great. They let people spend now against their future potential earnings, so they can buy houses or start businesses without first saving up for a decade. Loans are good for the economy. If you want to sign something that says "I owe you this much for that much time" then you need to be able to roughly predict the value of the debt in at the point in time where it's due. Otherwise you'll have a hard time pricing the risk of the loan effectively. This means that you need to charge higher interests. The risk of making a loan in BTC needs to be priced into the interest of a BTC-denominated loan, which means much higher interest rates. High interests on loans are bad, because buying houses and starting businesses are good things.
BTC has a fixed supply, so these problems are built in
Some people think that going back to a standard where our money was denominated by a stock of gold (the Gold Standard) would solve economic problems. This is nonsense. Having control over supply of your currency is a good thing, as long as it's well run. See here Remember that what is desirable is low variance in the value, not the value itself. When there are wild fluctuations in value, it's hard for money to do its job well. Since the 1970s, the USD has been a fiat money with no intrinsic value. This means we control the supply of money. Let's look at a classic poorly drawn econ101 graph The market price for USD is where supply meets demand. The problem with a currency based on an item whose supply is fixed is that the price will necessarily fluctuate in response to changes in demand. Imagine, if you will, that a pandemic strikes and that the demand for currency takes a sharp drop. The US imports less, people don't buy anything anymore, etc. If you can't print money, you get deflation, which is worsens everything. On the other hand, if you can make the money printers go brrrr you can stabilize the price Having your currency be based on a fixed supply isn't just bad because in/deflation is hard to control. It's also a national security risk... The story of the guy who crashed gold prices in North Africa In the 1200s, Mansa Munsa, the emperor of the Mali, was rich and a devout Muslim and wanted everyone to know it. So he embarked on a pilgrimage to make it rain all the way to Mecca. He in fact made it rain so hard he increased the overall supply of gold and unintentionally crashed gold prices in Cairo by 20%, wreaking an economic havoc in North Africa that lasted a decade. This story is fun, the larger point that having your inflation be at the mercy of foreign nations is an undesirable attribute in any currency. The US likes to call some countries currency manipulators, but this problem would be serious under a gold standard.
Currencies are based on trust
Since the USD is based on nothing except the US government's word, how can we trust USD not to be mismanaged? The answer is that you can probably trust the fed until political stooges get put in place. Currently, the US's central bank managing the USD, the Federal Reserve (the Fed for friends & family), has administrative authority. The fed can say "no" to dumb requests from the president. People who have no idea what the fed does like to chant "audit the fed", but the fed is already one of the best audited US federal entities. The transcripts of all their meetings are out in the open. As is their balance sheet, what they plan to do and why. If the US should audit anything it's the Department of Defense which operates without any accounting at all. It's easy to see when a central bank will go rogue: it's when political yes-men are elected to the board. For example, before printing themselves into hyperinflation, the Venezuelan president appointed a sociologist who publicly stated “Inflation does not exist in real life” and instead is a made up capitalist lie. Note what happened mere months after his gaining control over the Venezuelan currency This is a key policy. One paper I really like, Sargent (1984) "The end of 4 big inflations" states:
The essential measures that ended hyperinflation in each of Germany,Austria, Hungary, and Poland were, first, the creation of an independentcentral bank that was legally committed to refuse the government'sdemand or additional unsecured credit and, second, a simultaneousalteration in the fiscal policy regime.
In english: *hyperinflation stops when the central bank can say "no" to the government." The US Fed, like other well good central banks, is run by a bunch of nerds. When it prints money, even as aggressively as it has it does so for good reasons. You can see why they started printing on March 15th as the COVID lockdowns started:
The Federal Reserve is prepared to use its full range of tools to support the flow of credit to households and businesses and thereby promote its maximum employment and price stability goals.
In english: We're going to keep printing and lowering rates until jobs are back and inflation is under control. If we print until the sun is blotted out, we'll print in the shade.
BTC is not gold
Gold is a good asset for doomsday-preppers. If society crashes, gold will still have value. How do we know that? Gold has held value throughout multiple historic catastrophes over thousands of years. It had value before and after the Bronze Age Collapse, the Fall of the Western Roman Empire and Gengis Khan being Gengis Khan. Even if you erased humanity and started over, the new humans would still find gold to be economically valuable. When Europeans d̶i̶s̶c̶o̶v̶e̶r̶e̶d̶ c̶o̶n̶q̶u̶e̶r̶e̶d̶ g̶e̶n̶o̶c̶i̶d̶e̶d̶ went to America, they found gold to be an important item over there too. This is about equivalent to finding humans on Alpha-Centauri and learning that they think gold is a good store of value as well. Some people are puzzled at this: we don't even use gold for much! But it has great properties: First, gold is hard to fake and impossible to manufacture. This makes it good to ascertain payment. Second, gold doesnt react to oxygen, so it doesn't rust or tarnish. So it keeps value over time unlike most other materials. Last, gold is pretty. This might sound frivolous, and you may not like it, but jewelry has actual value to humans. It's no coincidence if you look at a list of the wealthiest families, a large number of them trade in luxury goods. To paraphrase Veblen humans have a profound desire to signal social status, for the same reason peacocks have unwieldy tails. Gold is a great way to achieve that. On the other hand, BTC lacks all these attributes. Its value is largely based on common perception of value. There are a few fundamental drivers of demand:
Means of Exchange: if people seriously start using BTC to buy pizzas, then this creates a real demand for the currency to accomplish the short-term exchanges. As we saw previously, I'm not personally sold on this one and it's currently a negligible fraction of overall demand.
Criminal uses: Probably the largest inbuilt advantage of BTC is that it's anonymous, and so a great way to launder money. Hacker gangs use BTC to demand ransom on cryptolocker type attacks because it's a shared way for an honest company to pay and for the criminals to receive money without going to jail.
Apart from these, it's hard to argue that BTC will retain value throughout some sort of economic catastrophe.
BTC is really risky
One last statement from Michael Saylor I take offense to is this:
“We feel pretty confident that Bitcoin is less risky than holding cash, less risky than holding gold,” MicroStrategy CEO said in an interview
"BTC is less risky than holding cash or gold long term" is nonsense. We saw before that BTC is more volatile on face value, and that as long as the Fed isn't run by spider monkeys stacked in a trench coat, the inflation is likely to be within reasonable bounds. But on top of this, BTC has Abrupt downside risks that normal currencies don't. Let's imagine a few:
A critical software vulnerability is found in the BTC codebase, leading to a possible exploitation.
Xi Jinping decides he's had enough of rich people in China hiding their assets from him and bans BTC.
Some form of bank run takes hold for whatever reason. Because BTC wallets are uninsured, unlike regular banks, this compounds into a Black Tuesday style crash.
Blockchain solutions are fundamentally inefficient
Blockchain was a genius idea. I still marvel at the initial white paper which is a great mix of economics and computer science. That said, blockchain solutions make large tradeoffs in design because they assume almost no trust between parties. This leads to intentionally wasteful designs on a massive scale. The main problem is that all transactions have to be validated by expensive computational operations and double checked by multiple parties. This means waste:
BTC was estimated to use as much electricity as Belgium in 2019. It's hard to trace where the BTC mining comes from, but we can assume it has a huge carbon footprint.
A single transactions is necessarily expensive. A single transaction takes as much electricity as 800,000 VISA transactions, or watching 50,000 hours of youtube videos.
There is a large necessary tax on the transaction, since those checking the transaction extract a few BTC from it to be incentivized to do the work of checking it.
Many design problems can be mitigated by various improvements over BTC, but it remains that a simple database always works better than a blockchain if you can trust the parties to the transaction.
China coins up today more that other alts. I think we may see President Xi have some nice words in his closing speech tomorrow. BTC could be up too except news the fork isn't going to be as big of a deal. /r/Bitcoin
From the horse's mouth: An article in English summarizing today's Bitcoin China news, just posted by Caixin, the Chinese news source that wrote the article that started the whole thing
[I've read every news story I can find on the Bitcoin China news, and everyone is basically using Caixin and Bobby Lee as their sources, so once you've read this, and Bobby Lee's quotes, you know almost everything you need to know.] http://m.english.caixin.com/m/2014-03-27/100657518.html PBOC Rule Means Bitcoin Websites in China Must Close, Expert Says 03.27.2014 17:17 Central bank told banks and payment firms to shut accounts of site operators, a move one analyst says means traders have to leave country By staff reporters Zhang Yuzhe and Li Xiaoxiao (Beijing) – The central bank has taken a step that at least one expert says means all bitcoin trading websites in the country must close. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) renewed its crackdown on bitcoins by requiring banks and payment companies to close all the accounts opened by the operators of websites that trade in the virtual currency by April 15. This means people will only be able to use cash to buy bitcoins, an analyst who has been following the matter said, and will force all trading websites in the country to close. "The only one way out for bitcoin websites is moving their servers abroad and using the service of foreign banks and payment companies," the expert said. The requirement, which Caixin saw in a document the central bank's headquarters recently sent to regional offices, says money can be taken from the accounts before the deadline, but no deposits can be made. Banks that fail to close the accounts will be punished, the PBOC said, but it did not elaborate on what those punishments would be. The central bank document listed 15 trading websites whose accounts must be closed. The regulator and four other central government agencies jointly issued a circular last year that prohibited payment companies and financial institutions from providing services to bitcoin trading platforms. The circular said bitcoins are a commodity, not a currency. It added that investors are free to trade in bitcoins at their own risk, but should know they cannot be used as legal tender. Bitcoins are created by computers linked in a network. To get them, a person can either make a purchase on a trading platform or become a "miner," who uses a computer to process data generated when other miners and traders create and trade bitcoins. The value of bitcoins rode a rollercoaster last year as demand fluctuated. The highs exceeded 8,000 yuan per unit and the lows dipped to only several hundred yuan. Prices on March 27 were around 3,500 yuan per bitcoin. Experts estimate that transactions on Chinese bitcoin trading platforms account for about 60 percent of the global total. Mt. Gox, once the world's largest exchange, filed for bankruptcy in February. (Rewritten by Wang Yuqian)
PLAYBOOK 10-28-20 👀 $HOG – Harley-Davidson unveils a gorgeous new electric bike called Serial 1. Broke over the resistance and found a new home. Companies that venture into new markets seem to be a favorite for investors. Electric bikes open a whole new market in China and Europe. May pull back and bounce around $30 to 33 range until we get more news. $DGLY –NEWS - White House is deploying federal resources for the cop shooting that occurred this news is spiking $DGLY. $DGLY produced body cameras. Keep it on the radar to reach the 100 MA to @$2.80 with more tension building getting closer to the elections. $SNMP – AH mover looking for continuation in the morning. $NVCN down big after hours looks to be at bottom now and curling $CHFS CHF Solutions (NASDAQ:CHFS) has shipped Aquadex product to medical facilities in Tennessee and South Carolina to treat critically ill patients suffering from COVID-19. The Aquadex SmartFlow system delivers clinically proven therapy using a simple, flexible and smart method of removing excess fluid from patients suffering from hypervolemia (fluid overload). $RIOT currently public float of 45.82M and currently shorts hold a 16.41% ratio of that float. Today, the average trading volume of RIOT was 9.91M shares. $MARA becomes the largest US Bitcoin Miner. Marathon said the deal would boost the company’s operations to 23,560 next-generation miners, “making it the largest self-miner in North America”. Bitcoin at yearly highs and Mara runs with bitcoin Backburners: $DSS $RNWK $TGC $WEI $USWS $CEI
Discovery World gets a lifeline from its chairman... shareholders get diluted (Friday, Oct 23)
Happy Friday, Barkada --
The PSE closed up 66 points to 6345 ▲1.1%.
The PSE has had a nice little 7.5% run the past 5 trading days, let's see how the week closes out. Remember, Converge IPO is on Tuesday! Shout-out to all the bitcoin hodlers out there. The recent run-up in price (up over US$13k today) must feel nice after Paypal announced it would incorporate crypto transactions into its payment platform (after being anti-crypto for a very very long time). Happy weekend!
[NEWS] Discovery World Corp [DWC 1.90 ▲18.75%] raises P304m in private share sale... the announcement of the sale was made before the start of trading yesterday, so the stock was halted for one hour to give traders a chance to digest the news. DWC develops, owns, and operates luxury resorts, like Discovery Shores Boracay and other resorts in Coron and Palawan. DWC sold 190m shares to “JT Perle Corp” for P1.60/share (the previous closing price). The shares came out of DWC’s authorized (but unissued) capital stock. DWC plans to use the proceeds of the sale for “working capital”. According to PSE rules, since the sale results in JT Perle Corp owning more than 10% of the outstanding shares of DWC, the deal must be approved by a vote of shareholders; DWC has arranged a special shareholders’ meeting on November 26 to approve the transaction and satisfy that rule.
MB:“JT Perle” is owned by the chairman of DWC, John Tiu, so this looks a lot like helping a cash-strapped corp keep the lights on during a pandemic than any kind of value-building strategic partnership. The DWC stock price has been depressed by the COVID crisis but not to the degree that one would anticipate for a luxury tourism-focused company during a pandemic. In fact, news of this investment by Tiu shot the stock up 18% to P1.90/share, a level that it hasn’t seen since literally the first weeks of the lockdown. There’s not a lot of volume here so the price action has a ton of noise and not a lot of signal, but it will be interesting to see how DWC deploys this fresh batch of funding. I’m going to look closely at DWC’s Q3 earnings.
[NOTE] A stock sale of “authorized but unissued stock” is dilutive... a sale like the one above, where DWC’s chairman, John Tiu, bought 190 million shares of DWC from DWC’s “authorized but unissued stock” is a dilutive transaction. “Authorized” stock just means that the theoretical existence of the stock has already been built into the legal documents of the company; stock that is authorized, but unissued, doesn’t factor into anything like dividends, or voting, or anything of that sort. It just acts as a warehouse of unsold stock that the company COULD issue and put into circulation in order to raise money. Once the stock is sold, it is converted from “authorized but unissued” to “authorized and issued”, and the number of shares that were sold/issued are added to the stock’s issued and outstanding shares.
MB:This kind of transaction is dilutive. For the sake of a simple example, say XYZ Inc has only two shareholders, John Tiu and you. XYZ has legal documents that authorize 20 common shares, but only 10 of XYZ’s shares have actually been sold and issued. John owns 5, and you own 5. You each own 50% of XYZ’s shares. Then, John makes a deal with XYZ Inc to buy an additional 5 shares out of XYZ’s 10 shares authorized-but-unissued stock. Since these shares act as “new” shares, their issuance adjusts the relative ownership of the company. Now John owns 10 shares, for 66% of the company, and you own 5 shares, for 33% of the company. That’s dilution. Your relative economic and voting power went down. That’s what just happened to DWC shareholders, and they loved it.
[NEWS] Rockwell Land [ROCK 1.52 ▲0.66%] signs JV with TGN Realty to develop “Rockwell North”... the Lopez Family’s real estate arm signed a joint venture agreement with the Nepomuceno Family’s TGN Realty to develop a 3.6 hectare plot of land in Angeles City, in Pampanga. The plan is for three residential towers, all surrounding a mall -- Rockwell’s first to be developed outside of the NCR. ROCK even indicated that the Angeles City development will be made in the spirit of the original Rockwell Center in Makati City.
MB:The residential side of the project is expected to raise P6.7 billion in sales, with turnover starting toward the end of next year. The development will eventually benefit from its proximity to the Clark International Airport and the North-South Commuter Railway that will connect Manila to Clark. From ROCK’s perspective, it’s probably just a lot safer to build outside of the NCR’s propensity to issue lockdowns and confusing/changing movement restriction orders, both in terms of preventing construction delays but also in terms of preventing mall shutdowns (and the related rent/lease squabbles).
[Q3] Belle Corp [BEL 1.47 ▲5.00%] profit ▼109% y/y... Q3/20 loss of P46m, down 109% from Q3/19 profit of P514m. According to the associated press release, BEL said that its 9-month revenue from its share of the City of Dreams in Manila, its “primary growth driver”, fell 86% because of the lockdown. BEL’s lottery operations also saw a substantial drop in revenues (down 71%), as did its real estate activities in the Tagaytay Highlands development.
MB:Like other companies that have too many eggs in the “luxury tourism and gaming” basket, BEL is suffering from being cut off from its mainland China cash cow. Revenues are not driven by local buyers, local bettors, or local tourists. It’s all targeting foreign customers from mainly China, but also Korea and Japan. These revenues will not come back until the wealthy feel comfortable enough with traveling to make overnight and weekend trips by international air travel palatable again. According to research, that recovery could be years away.
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China’s Digital Currency Could Challenge Bitcoin and Even the Dollar. Authorities are testing a new kind of money in four cities. Bloomberg News. June 1, 2020, 4:00 PM EDT From . Illustration ... NewsBTC is a cryptocurrency news service that covers bitcoin news today, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins.Here at NewsBTC, we are dedicated to enlightening everyone about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin News-October 11, 2020 Chinese Central Bank will distribute 1.5 million dollars in e-yuan in the first public test of the new payment system Bitcoin News - October 11, 2020 A potential worsening of the US-China trade war and subsequent cold war would have many unforeseen consequences. Yet, packed within the effects are both some downside risks for cryptocurrencies ... Bitcoin News is the world's premier 24/7 news feed covering everything bitcoin-related, including world economy, exchange rates and money politics.
Cryptocurrency News 2020 - China's Digital Coin Is Explosive. Bitcoins Future. CoinZoom Digital Exch
In today's video i talk about the new chinese cryptocurrency / china cryptocurrency. I also mentioned facebook libra crypto news 2020 and also touch on topics like xrp, ethereum, bitcoin, tezos ... ethereum price prediction 2022, latest bitcoin news today, cryptocurrency investment 2020, should i buy bitcoin 2020, bitcoin news today 2020, ethereum news today, btc price prediction 2020 ... What is the most accurate Bitcoin halving 2020 price prediction you've heard? Do you take into account the REDUCED miner sell pressure AS WELL AS the INCREAS... Bitcoin + China New CCID List and Cryptocurrency News Like and Subscribe. Become a CryptosRus INSIDER to gain exclusive insight on the market, get reviews... Bitcoin News Today: Is the news from China driving down the price of Bitcoin? How far down can Bitcoin go? Well, today I'd like to do some crypto Price Predictions & Bitcoin Trend Analysis based ...